2504.11566v1
Tracking the assembly of supermassive black holes: a comparison of diverse models across cosmic time
Digest
The authors cross-compare SMBH assembly across semi-analytic, empirical, and hydro frameworks (Dark Sage, Santa Cruz SAM, RN18, TRINITY, TNG300) over MBH ≈ 10^6–10^10 Msun. Physics-based models diverge from observationally inferred local BHMFs due to stellar-mass-function and scaling-relation systematics, but converge at z ~ 1–4 and broadly match JWST broad-line AGN BHMFs at z = 4–5. Dark Sage uniquely produces a strong knee in the bolometric AGN luminosity function near Lbol ~ 10^46 erg s^-1 that overlaps the inferred luminosities of JWST “Little Red Dots” at z = 5–6 if the emission is AGN-dominated. Within Dark Sage, SMBHs grow mainly via secular disk instabilities and merger-driven cold gas accretion, while BH–BH mergers contribute ~60% of the mass only for the most massive systems by z = 0; super-Eddington accretion is allowed.
Key figures to inspect
- Figure 3: Examine the bolometric AGN luminosity function—locate Dark Sage’s knee at Lbol ~ 10^46 erg s^-1 and compare it directly to the shaded LRD luminosity band; note that RN18 and TNG300 track the Shen et al. fits, while Santa Cruz departs at the low‑z bright end.
- Figure 2: Track the BHMF evolution versus redshift, focusing on model convergence by z ~ 1–4 and the distinct Dark Sage bump; compare to JWST broad-line AGN BHMF points at z = 4–5 (Taylor+2024) and NIRCam WFSS constraints (Matthee+2024), keeping the flagged low-mass incompleteness in mind.
- Figure 1: Contrast the local SMF, MBH–M* relation, and local BHMF across models; check how different SMF calibrations and scaling relations propagate into BHMF discrepancies, and note the Dark Sage dashed curve for halos with <200 particles.
- Figure 4: Inspect median MBH growth histories at fixed halo mass—observe order‑of‑magnitude convergence at z = 0 for most bins but larger spread in the most massive halos; use Sgr A* and M87* markers as anchors and relate differences to model seeding and accretion prescriptions.